I'm sticking to my guns. For about six months or so, I've been predicting President Bush will be re-elected. Back in May I wrote:
...But when it comes right down to it, the ballot question is going to be who can best prosecute the war on terrorism. The answer to that question is clear, Kerry's Vietnam credentials notwithstanding. This November will be a replay of the Bush I/Dukakis race in '88. Kerry will be portrayed as weak and ineffective on the national security question and that bugbear will ultimately cost him the election.
This analysis proved to be only half right. Yes, the Bush campaign -- along with some outside help, of course -- effectively portrayed Kerry as weak and untrustworthy, just like Bush pere did with Dukasis. But the real effectiveness of the Bush campaign was its wondrous job presenting Kerry as an unprincipled flip-flopper. The impression a lot of voters must have about Kerry is that he's changed his mind so many times on so many issues not even he knows what he stands for. The Bush campaign's branding was brilliant.
I know I'll regret this, but here's a little prediction for Tuesday:
POPULAR VOTE
Bush: 51%
Kerry: 48%
Nader: 1%
ELECTORAL COLLEGE
Bush: 298
Kerry: 240
# posted by Adam Daifallah : 5:54 PM
