Blog of Adam Daifallah -- author, journalist, law student. Lover of politics, writing, golf, curling, fitness, fashion, bacon and maple products -- not necessarily (but probably) in that order. Partisan of the Anglosphere. Contact me via email at adam@daifallah.com. This summer I am joined by Keir Wilmut and Omar Soliman.

Thursday, December 20, 2007

Taking stock of the primaries

It's been a while since we've seen something this exciting in politics. Both the Republicans and Democrats have no clear front-runner with just days to go before the Iowa caucuses. I've noted quite a few pundits are now refusing to make predictions. Good for them, because it's totally impossible.

I will not make any predictions either, but I will say one potential scenario that I thought next-to-impossible a few months ago is a John McCain victory on the Republican side. McCain, who most people sort of like and respect but don't really love, could become a compromise between Rudy/Mitt on one side and Mike Huckabee on the other, assuming Huckabee deflates à la Howard Dean in the next few weeks. I'm not so sure he will, but the possibility is always there.

On the Democrat side, Hillary Clinton's attempts to blunt the genuineness/sincerity issue (see the ad by her mom) are so far not working. People see her as an automaton, addicted to talking points and spin. Barack Obama is the clear alternative. There is probably still some room for John Edwards to grow into the void, but it might be too late.

So much of the primary process, and politics in general, is about momentum. Huckabee and Obama both have it right now.

# posted by Adam Daifallah : 11:08 AM

  

 

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